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Researchers at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine have developed a new mapping tool that compares the coronavirus, or COVID-19, to other recent epidemics. These include severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), H1N1 or swine flu, and the Ebola virus.
While other tools created by Johns Hopkins University and the World Health Organization might be updated more frequently, this map’s creators wanted to provide “more context to the daily headlines” by allowing the users not only to select mapping dates, but to compare the disease to other outbreaks.
For example, the 2009 swine flu pandemic was found in more than 18 countries and infected 60 million, but had a mortality rate of less than 0.1% — or between 123,000 and 203,000 deaths — according to the map’s researchers.
Currently, COVID-19 has been found in 25 countries and has infected more than 45,000. It has a mortality rate estimated at 2%, causing 1,115 deaths so far. This also is compared to the 2003 SARS outbreak, which was caused by a type of coronavirus, and affected 26 countries and infected 8,096. The mortality rate of SARS was 10%.
Researchers at the school say that while they are cautious to project where the virus will go from here, models suggest that “the outbreak could peak in mid- to late February if current trends continue.”
- Most coronavirus cases are mild, complicating the response – The Washington Post
- Coronavirus may have much longer incubation period–which would mean quarantines have been too short – The Hill
- Coronavirus contagion fears in Silicon Valley – Vox.com
- Reporting on the Coronavirus: Spreading Truth, Not Panic – The New York Times
- Update: ‘A bit chaotic.’ Christening of new coronavirus and its disease name create confusion – Science Magazine
- Images of new coronavirus just released – Livescience.com
- How the Coronavirus Numbers Changed So Sharply – The New York Times
- Coronavirus disease 2019 – World Health Organization
- How the coronavirus outbreak likely started with a bat – Vox.com